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Contender Series Week 6: Picks, Odds & Predictions

By Garrett Kerman 5 min read
Contender Series Week 6: Picks, Odds & Predictions

Season 10 of Dana White’s Contender Series closes out its midseason run with an unbeaten welterweight prospect headlining against a well-traveled veteran, plus four undercard fights loaded with finishing power and lopsided styles.

Here’s every main card fight broken down and a pick for every matchup.

Zevan Hunt (7-0) vs. Mayton Perea (8-3).

FighterOdds
Zevan Hunt-122
Mayton Perea+100

Zevan Hunt headlines this welterweight main event with a perfect 7-0 record, and his combination of physical tools and finishing instincts have made him a slight underdog at +100 heading into fight night. Hunt’s path to victory involves using his athletic advantages and pressure to keep Perea on the back foot early, looking to find the kind of finish that has defined his unbeaten run and close the show before the fight ever reaches the judges.

Mayton Perea enters at -122 with a deeper 8-3 professional resume, and that added experience against tougher, more varied competition gives him real tools to make this a competitive fight rather than a formality. Perea’s best route to the upset comes from using his craft in exchanges, weathering Hunt’s early pressure, and relying on composure in deep water where his additional fights have prepared him for adversity Hunt hasn’t necessarily faced yet. Given Hunt’s superior physical tools and unbeaten momentum working in his favor, the young prospect’s edge should be enough to close out Week 6.

Pick: Zevan Hunt (+100)

Igor Cavalcanti (13-2) vs. Oscar Ravello (13-3-1)

FighterOdds
Igor Cavalcanti-355
Oscar Ravello+270

Igor Cavalcanti enters this middleweight co-main event as a significant favorite at -355, and the Brazilian’s combination of pace and well-rounded output have made him one of the more highly regarded prospects on this entire card. Cavalcanti’s path to victory relies on his striking volume and pressure, looking to overwhelm Ravello with a heavy pace that forces mistakes and opens up finishing opportunities as the fight progresses.

Oscar Ravello enters at +270 with a 13-3-1 record, giving him plenty of professional experience even as the clear betting underdog heading into this matchup. Ravello’s route to the upset comes down to using his own experience to weather Cavalcanti’s early pressure and looking for opportunities to counter as the Brazilian commits to combinations, potentially dragging this fight into deeper waters where durability becomes the deciding factor. Given the significant gap in recent form and the pace advantage Cavalcanti has shown throughout his career, his pressure and volume should be too much for Ravello to overcome across three rounds.

Pick: Igor Cavalcanti (-335)

Akbar Abdullaev (13-0) vs. Ednilson Santos (14-7-1)

FighterOdds
Akbar Abdullaev-2500
Ednilson Santos+1000

Akbar Abdullaev enters as one of the single biggest favorites in recent Contender Series history at -2500, and the unbeaten Kyrgyzstani’s perfect 13-0 record built on relentless pace and knockout power has made him one of the most hyped prospects to step into the Apex cage all season. Abdullaev’s path to victory is straightforward, his combination of volume striking and finishing instincts has overwhelmed every opponent placed in front of him, and there’s little reason to expect Santos to be the exception.

Ednilson Santos enters at +1000 as a massive live underdog, and while extreme prices like this rarely offer standalone moneyline value, his own professional record shows he’s accustomed to facing difficult stylistic matchups. Santos’s best chance at an upset involves surviving Abdullaev’s opening pace and looking for a single opportunistic counter, though the gap in speed, power, and output between these two lightweights appears substantial. Given Abdullaev’s flawless record and the significant step up in competition Santos is facing, this profiles as a dominant showcase performance for the heavily favored prospect.

Pick: Akbar Abdullaev (-2500)

Hugo Guillon (7-1) vs. Luis Hernandez (7-0)

FighterOdds
Hugo Guillon-176
Luis Hernandez+142

Hugo Guillon enters this middleweight matchup as the moderate favorite at -176, and the Frenchman’s well-rounded skill set and consistent output throughout his career have made him a steady presence heading into this crucial promotional audition. Guillon’s path to victory relies on his ability to mix striking, grappling threats, and utilize his massive size advantage 6’4″ > 5’9″ giving Hernandez multiple problems to solve.

Luis Hernandez enters at +142 with a perfect 7-0 record of his own, giving him a credible case as a live underdog against a fighter who has taken a tougher path to this stage. Hernandez’s route to the win comes down to his own unbeaten momentum and confidence, looking to impose his style early and prevent Guillon from ever finding a comfortable rhythm.

Given the closeness of this matchup and Hernandez’s own flawless record working in his favor, this looks like one of the more competitive fights on the entire card, but Guillon’s added experience and size advantage should give him the edge down the stretch.

Pick: Hugo Guillon (-165)

Tyshawn Williams (8-0) vs. Antonio Monteiro (18-5-1)

FighterOdds
Tyshawn Williams-310
Antonio Monteiro+240

Tyshawn Williams enters this featherweight closer as a significant favorite at -310, and his unbeaten 8-0 record has been built through performances that have left little doubt about his readiness for the UFC level. Williams’s path to victory involves imposing his pace and physical tools early, using pressure and volume to break down Monteiro before the veteran can settle into any kind of rhythm or find comfortable exchanges.

Antonio Monteiro enters at +240 with a considerably deeper 18-5-1 professional resume, giving him one of the most experienced records of any fighter on this entire Week 6 card even as the clear betting underdog. Monteiro’s best route to the upset involves relying on that experience to weather Williams’s early pressure and find opportunities to counter as the fight extends into the second and third rounds, where his own veteran composure could become the deciding factor.

Given Williams’s unbeaten momentum and superior recent form, his pace and physical tools should be enough to kick off the card with a statement win.

Pick: Tyshawn Williams (-315)

G
Contributing Writer
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